Four Resolutions We Hope Lawmakers Will Keep This Year

Four Resolutions We Hope Lawmakers Will Keep This Year

The Republicans have promised a replacement for the health reform law. The Democrats had planned a payment advisory panel. Both parties want a "doc fix." Will this be the year lawmakers stick to their promises?

So this is the new year — will lawmakers be any different?

Probably not. Legislators seem more likely to lose 10 pounds than deal with several pesky health policy issues in 2012.

The unfinished ‘doc fix’ is waiting to be addressed — again.

Republicans have yet to debut their long-promised replacement for the Affordable Care Act; Democrats have shrunk from their controversial Independent Payment Advisory Board.

Here are four resolutions that “Road to Reform” would like to see policymakers follow through on this year.

1. ‘Fix’ the SGR — Permanently

It’s the most regular — and regularly delayed — piece of health policy legislation.

Which means health journalists and wonks must address the story each year.

Grudgingly.

Rather than decide to implement scheduled cuts to Medicare provider payments, as called for by the 15-year-old Sustainable Growth Rate formula, Congress traditionally passes a temporary patch that leaves the issue for future sessions.

As a result, the 2012 articles on changing Medicare’s SGR aren’t so different from the 2002 iterations, except the size of the defrayed cuts grows each year — from 5% a decade ago to 27% today.

Odds of following through: Low.

As the Washington Post’s Sarah Kliff notes, actually allowing the SGR cuts to go through is a “political nonstarter.” But no lawmaker has successfully offered a politically viable replacement or long-term patch.

Congress already is dragging its heels on how to extend the current two-month patch.

So barring a radical solution — perhaps surfaced through “a contest” for the best crowd-sourced doc fix, Politico editor Joanne Kenen joked — this will be another year with no permanent solution, unless continued economic challenges finally force hard fiscal choices on Medicare.

2. Introduce the GOP ‘Replacement’ for the Affordable Care Act

The House last January directed four GOP-led committees to work up replacements to the ACA.

Twelve months later, we’re still waiting.

House Budget Committee Chair Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) admitted as much in a speech at Stanford’s Hoover Institution last fall. “The party as a whole has yet to coalesce around a complete reform agenda,” Ryan said — suggesting that his own controversial plan would be the answer.

But many Republicans have shifted away from embracing Ryan’s plan. A handful of bills that would make fragmentary changes to health reform, such as changing malpractice policy, have been floated for consideration.

That isn’t enough for some health wonks.

“For Republicans, we get what you are against …  what are you for?” Duke University professor Don Taylor told California Healthline. “Anyone claiming to want a balanced budget is in the health reform business whether they know it or not. They should resolve to mark a [replacement] bill in the House and have it scored by the CBO.”

Odds: Slim

There’s little incentive for the GOP to introduce a politically risky health reform proposal, especially ahead of this fall’s elections.

By simply attacking the ACA, “they’re [already] winning the argument,” the Cato Institute’s Michael Cannon told the Washington Post. “Why would [Republicans] change the subject?”

3. Follow Through on the Democrats’ IPAB

IPAB was promised as one of ACA’s most transformative reforms, by taking Medicare payment policy out of the hands of Congress and forcing the kind of payment decisions that legislators have proven unwilling or unable to make. (See: The doc fix.)

But actually enacting the commission has been politically fraught from the start, with fears that IPAB would lead to rationing of health services and charges that IPAB would be like “an IRS for Medicare.”

There’s also the non-trivial matter of finding candidates willing to submit to high-profile — and possibly brutal — Senate confirmation hearings.

Odds: Middling.

Like the GOP, Democrats are wary of resurrecting arguments about health reform in the midst of an election season. Given IPAB’s common depiction as a health care rationing board, it’s a probable political loser.

But IPAB could be a matter for the lame-duck Congress this winter, especially if Washington’s deficit-cutting climate persists. And because the ACA calls for IPAB to deliver its first report in July 2014, the commission will need to begin assembling across the next two years to hit its deadlines.

4. Decide What’s Worthy of Tax-Exempt Status

For years, not-for-profit hospitals have faced questions over their tax exemptions.

In essence: Do these hospitals provide enough in community services and free care to warrant their tax breaks?

Seeking answers, Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) has pushed changes to Internal Revenue Service regulations, requiring hospitals to detail their uncompensated care and community benefit. Drawing on that new data, a robust Modern Healthcare analysis found that the average hospital spends less than 2% of its expenses on charity care.

Odds: Middling.

Hospital requirements to earn and keep tax-exempt status have been vaguely defined for decades, but the economy and lagging tax rolls might finally force governments to act on making changes.

Even if Congress doesn’t move on a broader decision, several Illinois hospitals lost their property tax-exempt status last year, a possible harbinger of similar actions by local boards.

Which Issues — if Any — Will Be Resolved in 2012?

“Road to Reform” will hold lawmakers to task across 2012. And if legislators need any help on following through, a recent New York Times article suggests tricks to boost your willpower to keep New Year’s resolutions. (Unfortunately, there’s no second story on how to improve political will.)

Meanwhile, here’s what else is going on across the nation.

Administration Actions

Effect on Employers

In the States

On the Hill

Rolling Out Reform

Spotlight on ACOs

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