Politics of Economy May Affect Health Care Policy

Politics of Economy May Affect Health Care Policy

Financial concerns from Sacramento to Washington, D.C., are overshadowing the health reform overhaul and could shape implementation efforts moving forward.

California’s efforts to implement health reform continue to speed ahead. The state is on track to be the first to set up a health insurance exchange since the overhaul’s passage, and the Legislature has advanced other key bills regulating insurer behavior.

However, efforts to roll out new health care provisions — both in the Golden State and across the nation — are increasingly colored by economic woes.

Persistently bad unemployment figures have complicated Democrats’ efforts to tout the overhaul and could expedite Republican midterm victories that might affect future implementation. Meanwhile, ongoing concerns about state and federal budgets have fueled resistance to government spending across the political spectrum, from consumer protests outside the Sacramento Capitol to lawmakers’ protestations in the nation’s capital.

Unemployment, Budget Delay Test State Safety Net

While California remains on track to expand access to health coverage in 2014, new data underscore that the state has a worsening problem right now.

About 8.4 million Californians were uninsured in 2009 — up from 6.4 million in 2007, a 31% surge in just two years — according to a new report from the UCLA Center for Health Policy Research. The sharp increase was driven by widespread job loss, as areas that reported higher unemployment figures corresponded to areas with the highest rate of uninsured residents, said Shana Alex Lavarreda, the center’s director. The figures should remind lawmakers that “California’s health system needs all the help it can get,” according to Anthony Wright, director of Health Access.

Several provisions under the health reform law are intended to bolster the short-term safety net. California’s high-risk pool –called the Pre-existing Condition Insurance Plan — is slated to be the first major initiative from the federal health reform law to take effect in California. The pool is slated to cover up to 25,000 Californians; as of Aug. 6, about 4,000 state residents had requested applications for the pool. Under the law, more than 450,000 of the state’s small businesses also are in line for tax credits intended to help finance health coverage for their employees.

However, state budget issues continue to raise red flags for health care stakeholders. The budget, which is now about two months late, currently threatens cuts to health and human services, which critics say would hamper access to Medi-Cal, reduce home health services and make other changes. The budget delay also means that community clinics are now going without Medi-Cal reimbursements, which represents 50% to 80% of their revenue, and could force clinics to scale back their hours and services.

National Economics Also Affect Politics of Reform

National budget issues present their own set of challenges. Critics continue to hammer the new law for costing too much at a time of high deficit spending. Republicans also have pointed to consistently high unemployment figures as evidence that reform isn’t helping the economy, despite the White House and Democratic leaders initially positioning the overhaul as a necessary financial fix.

These economic woes matter as the midterm elections approach.  Rather than discuss the merits of the health care overhaul, candidates for higher office are focusing “all [their messages] about jobs and the economy,” said Howard Dean, former chair of the Democratic National Committee. As a result, debate over the reform law has been continually reframed to focus on long-term costs and not issues like improved access to care.

The current climate and tone is thought to favor Republican challengers and hurt Democratic incumbents. However, even if Republicans make major gains in the House and Senate — with many candidates campaigning on a promise to “repeal and replace” the federal overhaul — their options to change the bill will be limited given President Obama’s veto power, notes Grace-Marie Turner, president of the Galen Institute.

As a result, GOP repeal efforts will likely focus on the law’s cost, as Republicans could convene congressional hearings to explore the overhaul’s effect on the economy and the health sector. According to Turner, Republicans’ “strongest cases” would address the law’s effect on jobs and national deficit. A shift in Congress also could allow Republicans to roll back certain elements rather than the entire law. GOP lawmakers already have targeted a new reporting mandate, which will take effect in 2012 and require businesses, not-for-profit groups and government offices to file 1099 forms with the Internal Revenue Service when they purchase $600 or more in goods from another business in a given year. The provision is expected to generate $19 billion in revenue toward health reform over the next decade. However, small businesses have argued that the new requirements will impose “an enormous amount of red tape” for companies during bleak economic times, and GOP lawmakers have introduced legislation to repeal the reporting mandate.

While the debate on cost continues, here’s what else is making news in health reform.

Implementing the Overhaul

Calling for Changes

Public Perception of Reform

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