Some Fear IPAB Will Be Error of Commission

Some Fear IPAB Will Be Error of Commission

Proponents of the Independent Payment Advisory Board -- which is slated to launch in 2014 -- hail IPAB as a transformative effort to ensure needed cost controls, but critics warn that the board will weaken Medicare and harm patient care. Both sides note that IPAB may undergo a makeover before its ultimate debut.

A pair of national magazine pieces this month spotlighted challenges within the Senate and suggested that the chamber suffers from “broader dysfunction” and more “paralysis” than ever before.

Critiquing Congress isn’t a new phenomenon, but both articles — which were much buzzed-about in the nation’s capital — underscored that senators generally are voting in party lock-step, hesitant to cross the aisle on big-picture legislation and willing to push off the most-taxing issues (like spending cuts) to future sessions. The possibility that Democrats will lose at least a handful of Senate seats this fall might create further gridlock.

Even the most budget-conscious senators seem hesitant to make tough fiscal decisions that could affect their constituencies.

Sen. Kent Conrad (D-N.D.), chair of the Senate Budget Committee and a noted fiscal conservative, in 2009 held up health reform legislation over cost concerns. However, Conrad reportedly agreed to allow budget reconciliation measures for health reform — a crucial provision for the bill’s ultimate passage — if the law boosted Medicare reimbursements for providers in “frontier states” like North Dakota.

Against this backdrop, Congress has faced lingering questions about the cost of the health overhaul and lawmakers’ willingness to tamp down future health spending. While Medicare trustees recently reported that health reform extends the life of the Medicare Trust Fund by a dozen years, those projections rely on the Senate carrying out productivity cuts or defaulting to recommendations from the newly created Independent Payment Advisory Board (IPAB).

CMS Chief Actuary Richard Foster disputed the trustees’ report and, in an unprecedented development, released alternative projections that are significantly more pessimistic, warning that Congress is unlikely to make productivity adjustments. Lawmakers have a poor recent track record of following through on called-for Medicare spending reductions; Congress annually pushes off mandated cuts to physician payments, Foster and other critics have noted.

Congress Accepts Guidance, but Keeps Authority

Congress currently receives non-binding guidance on payment decisions from the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission, better known as MedPAC and a potential forerunner to IPAB. Created in 1997 to consolidate two earlier advisory committees on Medicare hospital and physician payment, MedPAC is “sometimes inappropriately dismissed because Congress does not appear to act on its annual payment recommendations,” says Alec Vachon, a former Senate Finance Committee staffer. However, that perception reflects a contrast between MedPAC’s routine reports and Congress’ “spasmodic” approach to making Medicare policy, Bruce Vladeck, a former administrator of Medicare and Medicaid, tells California Healthline.

Vladeck notes that by offering non-binding recommendations, MedPAC has earned “credibility” with Congress and CMS and can float ideas outside of the political conversation that eventually gain traction, like pay-for-performance reimbursement. Many structural ideas proposed by MedPAC eventually found their way into the health care overhaul, such as accountable care organizations and payment bundling.

IPAB Represents New Front for Cost-Control …

IPAB, slated to launch in 2014, would provide a check on Medicare spending. Ratcheted down from its early and politically problematic conception as “MedPAC on steroids,” with broader rate-setting authority, the board still represents “the most aggressive effort lawmakers have ever made to control Medicare’s costs,” says Washington Post columnist Ezra Klein.

Beginning in 2014, IPAB must recommend Medicare spending cuts if the program’s growth rate exceeds the average of the consumer price index and the Medical Care CPI. Barring congressional action to make equivalent cuts, IPAB’s recommendations would become law. The board would exempt decisions affecting hospitals and other provider groups until 2020, but the Congressional Budget Office estimates that IPAB still could hold down Medicare spending by $15.5 billion between 2015 and 2019, according to a new report from Stephen Zuckerman of the Urban Institute.

… and Debate Over Political Role

Lawmakers rarely cede significant authority to an outside commission, although the strategy has been employed to ensure a wave of politically risky military base closures. Given that members of Congress represent vocal constituencies like hospitals and physicians, many observers wonder if lawmakers will ultimately retain their influence over health care spending and attempt to modify IPAB’s authority before the board takes effect.

A group of high-ranking Senate Republicans last month introduced a bill to abolish IPAB, saying that “unelected, unaccountable bureaucrats” should not be given such significant power over Medicare. Even some who supported the broader health reform law say that IPAB must be repealed.

Rep. Pete Stark (D-Calif.), who voted for the overhaul, says that the board is a “dangerous provision” that “sets [Medicare] up for unsustainable cuts” and endangers patients’ health. “I intend to work tirelessly to mitigate the damage that will be caused by IPAB,” Stark adds.

More Legislation May Be on the Table

Writing on The Health Care Blog, health care consultant Roger Collier suggests one potential future for IPAB: that Congress will probably follow the board’s recommendations and “occasionally loose[n] payment restrictions” to ease beneficiaries’ access to care, which would produce some expected savings, but “only a fraction of the CBO estimate.”

Conversely, Devon Herrick of the National Center for Policy Analysis tells California Healthline that IPAB could force Medicare rate cuts that make providers hesitant to care for beneficiaries and leave the elderly and disabled “in the same position as Medicaid enrollees — who often are forced to get all their care at community health centers and safety net hospitals.”

Between stakeholders’ concerns and lawmakers’ hesitation, more legislation may be on the way. The reform law took a “spaghetti approach to cost control,” noted Jonathan Gruber, an economist at MIT. Lawmakers essentially threw “a bunch of stuff against the wall [to] see what will stick” and need to revisit cost cuts like IPAB in “health care, round two.”

While experts and lawmakers debate the role of IPAB in curbing health spending, here’s a look at what else is happening in health reform.

Insurance Industry Pushback

Questions Over Reform Costs

Eye on the States

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